Early Warning

Jupiter Impact, July '09 NASA Galileo

Jupiter Impact, July '09 NASA Galileo

If nothing else, current problems and stress inherent in the differences in power and strength ranking demonstrate the need for a few proposals.  For the moment, these two paraphrased from the 2006 draft of Triad Phase II should form a base for a valid discussion.

  • “It may be productive to conform an anthropologically dimensioned early warning network to a form of organizational dynamic. Three categories surface on inspection: Cohesive groups changing character; group formation and dispersion, and conflict. This effort should permit closer correlation of communications theory with fundamental statistics summarizing dynamics of a closed ecosystem and its interacting physiological interests.”
  • “A multiple early warning system is embedded in Triad theory which suggests using physical measurements conformed to an anthropological fact base;  interacting physiologies having approached homeostasis more closely than humanity;  the ability to retroactively identify seed events which have initiated long term trends; and the ability to measure changes in cognitive capacity as measures of stability.”

The Fund for Peace has an equivalent effort, so it is not impossible should events justify it.  Today’s WSJ gives one motivator and one welcome example of a stable platform.   Wegelin & Co. has written a classic.

Application

As is the case with so many arguments in this website, very complex concepts must be characterized in short stories, presumably grounded in accurate metaphors or, perhaps, actual happenings.  The working draft includes one  very closely corroborating this position taken regarding early warning theory.  To extract:

  • During military combat in what may have been the United States in the 1800′s, a third major force made its presence known.  This force delivered messages wrapped around arrow shafts and showed competence by attaching a pair of quarters first to clothing, then to skin.  On remote command, the quarters detached and dropped to the ground.  After the significance of the event sunk in, both sides asked what the force wanted,  The answer came back “nothing, we just wanted to let you know we are around”.  Immediately thereafter, images of the first passage using a planet drive for the transit from a universe in the last millennium of its life to a young one. An unbelievable aspect of the trip was the impression that the planet survived a trip through a star with the characteristics of earth’s sun.  ( Phase III, 4-20-09)

Work in Progress

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